Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
$251,010 Vol.
$251,010 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Normas
On April 4, China implemented a series of restrictions on the export of a variety of rare earth metals. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.On April 4, China implemented a series of restrictions on the export of a variety of rare earth metals. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Creado en: Jul 23, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$251,010Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Jul 23, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
$251,010 Vol.
$251,010 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Acerca de
On April 4, China implemented a series of restrictions on the export of a variety of rare earth metals. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.On April 4, China implemented a series of restrictions on the export of a variety of rare earth metals. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$251,010Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Jul 23, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.