Market icon

Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg

Market icon

Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg

CDU 59.1%

Los Verdes 40.7%

AfD <1%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$1,130,047 Vol.

CDU 59.1%

Los Verdes 40.7%

AfD <1%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$1,130,047 Vol.

Market icon

CDU

$198,744 Vol.

59%

Market icon

Los Verdes

$288,336 Vol.

41%

Market icon

AfD

$172,811 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

FDP

$41,722 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

La Izquierda

$395,816 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

SPD

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

BSW

$32,618 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg are scheduled to take place in Baden-Württemberg on March 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Baden-Württemberg (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Baden-Württemberg election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Baden-Württemberg Statistischen Landesamt (https://www.statistik-bw.de/staat-und-gesellschaft/wahlen/landtagswahl).
Volumen
$1,130,047
Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg are scheduled to take place in Baden-Württemberg on March 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Baden-Württemberg (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Baden-Württemberg election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Baden-Württemberg Statistischen Landesamt (https://www.statistik-bw.de/staat-und-gesellschaft/wahlen/landtagswahl).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CDU" at 59%, followed by "Los Verdes" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg" is "CDU" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Verdes" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Baden-Württemberg" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.