President Trump's abrupt ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem on March 29—her reassignment following damaging headlines—have intensified trader consensus on high turnover in his second-term cabinet before 2027, echoing first-term patterns of rapid personnel changes. Internal frictions over Iran policy, cyber breaches targeting FBI Director Kash Patel, Pentagon instability pressuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Department of Government Efficiency workforce cuts are fueling speculation around other officials like Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Trump has signaled more potential shifts amid Senate confirmation timelines, with 2026 midterms looming as a key catalyst for resignations or further executive actions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$790,212 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Kash Patel
75%
Tulsi Gabbard
65%
Kristi Noem
57%
Howard Lutnick
55%
Lee Zeldin
39%
Karoline Leavitt
43%
Pete Hegseth
42%
Dan Scavino
40%
John Ratcliffe
40%
Susie Wiles
33%
David Sacks
32%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27%
Scott Bessent
16%
Marco Rubio
16%
Stephen Miller
16%
Russell Vought
34%
Tom Homan
37%
$790,212 Vol.
Kash Patel
$130,693 Vol.
75%
Tulsi Gabbard
$9,381 Vol.
65%
Kristi Noem
$84,562 Vol.
57%
Howard Lutnick
$34,064 Vol.
55%
Lee Zeldin
$23,741 Vol.
39%
Karoline Leavitt
$10,588 Vol.
43%
Pete Hegseth
$14,023 Vol.
42%
Dan Scavino
$0 Vol.
40%
John Ratcliffe
$0 Vol.
40%
Susie Wiles
$39,548 Vol.
33%
David Sacks
$6,314 Vol.
32%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$63,137 Vol.
27%
Scott Bessent
$411 Vol.
16%
Marco Rubio
$2,607 Vol.
16%
Stephen Miller
$505 Vol.
16%
Russell Vought
$134 Vol.
34%
Tom Homan
$39 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem on March 29—her reassignment following damaging headlines—have intensified trader consensus on high turnover in his second-term cabinet before 2027, echoing first-term patterns of rapid personnel changes. Internal frictions over Iran policy, cyber breaches targeting FBI Director Kash Patel, Pentagon instability pressuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Department of Government Efficiency workforce cuts are fueling speculation around other officials like Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Trump has signaled more potential shifts amid Senate confirmation timelines, with 2026 midterms looming as a key catalyst for resignations or further executive actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$790,212Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem on March 29—her reassignment following damaging headlines—have intensified trader consensus on high turnover in his second-term cabinet before 2027, echoing first-term patterns of rapid personnel changes. Internal frictions over Iran policy, cyber breaches targeting FBI Director Kash Patel, Pentagon instability pressuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Department of Government Efficiency workforce cuts are fueling speculation around other officials like Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Trump has signaled more potential shifts amid Senate confirmation timelines, with 2026 midterms looming as a key catalyst for resignations or further executive actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$790,212Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's abrupt ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem on March 29—her reassignment following damaging headlines—have intensified trader consensus on high turnover in his second-term cabinet before 2027, echoing first-term patterns of rapid personnel changes. Internal frictions over Iran policy, cyber breaches targeting FBI Director Kash Patel, Pentagon instability pressuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Department of Government Efficiency workforce cuts are fueling speculation around other officials like Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Trump has signaled more potential shifts amid Senate confirmation timelines, with 2026 midterms looming as a key catalyst for resignations or further executive actions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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