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Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Google 55%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$76,092 Vol.

Google 55%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$76,092 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$11,366 Vol.

55%

Market icon

Anthropic

$6,660 Vol.

37%

Market icon

OpenAI

$2,838 Vol.

3%

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xAI

$2,811 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mistral

$2,566 Vol.

2%

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DeepSeek

$2,517 Vol.

1%

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Baidu

$2,415 Vol.

1%

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Z.ai

$16,874 Vol.

1%

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ByteDance

$6,023 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$2,518 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$2,321 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$14,434 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$2,751 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Google" con 55%, seguido de "Anthropic" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" ha generado $76.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which company has the third best AI model end of April?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" es "Google" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Anthropic" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.