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Política·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

Market icon
Política·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

<25% 100.0%

25–40% <1%

40–60% <1%

60–100% <1%

Polymarket

$1,819,938 Vol.

<25% 100.0%

25–40% <1%

40–60% <1%

60–100% <1%

Polymarket

$1,819,938 Vol.

<25%

$511,217 Vol.

Yes

25–40%

$518,977 Vol.

No

40–60%

$361,845 Vol.

No

60–100%

$179,186 Vol.

No

100–150%

$127,949 Vol.

No

>150%

$120,764 Vol.

No

On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement.

This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).

Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$1,819,938
Fecha de finalización
Nov 12, 2025
Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<25%" at 100%, followed by "25–40%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?" is "<25%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25–40%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.