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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Market icon

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$811,427 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$811,427 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Volumen
$811,427
Fecha de finalización
Jul 15, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2025, 10:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Volumen
$811,427
Fecha de finalización
Jul 15, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2025, 10:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?" has generated $811.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.