Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing a confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as this aligns closely with Financial Times projections for a mid-2026 listing raising up to $50 billion. Starlink's explosive growth—now routine launches of 100+ satellites, expansions into new markets like Kuwait and Central African Republic, and projected 2026 revenues of $22-24 billion—combined with Starship milestones, including Super Heavy V3 static fires and Pad 2 activation, have propelled secondary valuations past $1.6 trillion. Elon Musk's prior confirmation of 2026 IPO plans adds credibility, though Starship's first V3 flight in ~4 weeks remains a key de-risking catalyst before any public debut. Higher brackets like 2.0T+ reflect optimism on orbital economy scaling but face execution risks from reusability timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1.874T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 25%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.2%
$1,511,810 Vol.
$1,511,810 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 25%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.2%
$1,511,810 Vol.
$1,511,810 Vol.
<1.0T
$13,300 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$8,959 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$12,149 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$11,558 Vol.
25%
2.5T-3.0T
$768,632 Vol.
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$432,430 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$28,679 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$236,103 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing a confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as this aligns closely with Financial Times projections for a mid-2026 listing raising up to $50 billion. Starlink's explosive growth—now routine launches of 100+ satellites, expansions into new markets like Kuwait and Central African Republic, and projected 2026 revenues of $22-24 billion—combined with Starship milestones, including Super Heavy V3 static fires and Pad 2 activation, have propelled secondary valuations past $1.6 trillion. Elon Musk's prior confirmation of 2026 IPO plans adds credibility, though Starship's first V3 flight in ~4 weeks remains a key de-risking catalyst before any public debut. Higher brackets like 2.0T+ reflect optimism on orbital economy scaling but face execution risks from reusability timelines.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,511,810Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing a confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as this aligns closely with Financial Times projections for a mid-2026 listing raising up to $50 billion. Starlink's explosive growth—now routine launches of 100+ satellites, expansions into new markets like Kuwait and Central African Republic, and projected 2026 revenues of $22-24 billion—combined with Starship milestones, including Super Heavy V3 static fires and Pad 2 activation, have propelled secondary valuations past $1.6 trillion. Elon Musk's prior confirmation of 2026 IPO plans adds credibility, though Starship's first V3 flight in ~4 weeks remains a key de-risking catalyst before any public debut. Higher brackets like 2.0T+ reflect optimism on orbital economy scaling but face execution risks from reusability timelines.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,511,810Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing a confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as this aligns closely with Financial Times projections for a mid-2026 listing raising up to $50 billion. Starlink's explosive growth—now routine launches of 100+ satellites, expansions into new markets like Kuwait and Central African Republic, and projected 2026 revenues of $22-24 billion—combined with Starship milestones, including Super Heavy V3 static fires and Pad 2 activation, have propelled secondary valuations past $1.6 trillion. Elon Musk's prior confirmation of 2026 IPO plans adds credibility, though Starship's first V3 flight in ~4 weeks remains a key de-risking catalyst before any public debut. Higher brackets like 2.0T+ reflect optimism on orbital economy scaling but face execution risks from reusability timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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