OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—has entrenched the 65.5% implied probability for no IPO by December 31, 2026, as traders bet the capital infusion lets the AI leader sidestep public market pressures amid heavy cash burn (projected $14–19 billion losses on $25 billion 2026 revenue) and a lofty 28x sales multiple drawing investor skepticism. Ultra-high cap outcomes like 1.5T+ (8.5%) capture hype from ChatGPT dominance and enterprise growth but hinge on flawless execution against rivals like Anthropic. Key catalysts ahead: Q4 S-1 filing whispers, profitability updates, or regulatory hurdles that could unlock or derail a trillion-dollar debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 66%
1,5 billones+ 8.4%
1.25T–1.5T 7.8%
1 billón–1,25 billones 4.7%
$1,552,534 Vol.
$1,552,534 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<500 mil millones
3%
500–750B
4%
750B–1T
3%
1 billón–1,25 billones
5%
1.25T–1.5T
8%
1,5 billones+
8%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026
66%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 66%
1,5 billones+ 8.4%
1.25T–1.5T 7.8%
1 billón–1,25 billones 4.7%
$1,552,534 Vol.
$1,552,534 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<500 mil millones
$257,396 Vol.
3%
500–750B
$139,268 Vol.
4%
750B–1T
$130,376 Vol.
3%
1 billón–1,25 billones
$172,840 Vol.
5%
1.25T–1.5T
$487,448 Vol.
8%
1,5 billones+
$92,310 Vol.
8%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026
$272,896 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—has entrenched the 65.5% implied probability for no IPO by December 31, 2026, as traders bet the capital infusion lets the AI leader sidestep public market pressures amid heavy cash burn (projected $14–19 billion losses on $25 billion 2026 revenue) and a lofty 28x sales multiple drawing investor skepticism. Ultra-high cap outcomes like 1.5T+ (8.5%) capture hype from ChatGPT dominance and enterprise growth but hinge on flawless execution against rivals like Anthropic. Key catalysts ahead: Q4 S-1 filing whispers, profitability updates, or regulatory hurdles that could unlock or derail a trillion-dollar debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,552,534Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—has entrenched the 65.5% implied probability for no IPO by December 31, 2026, as traders bet the capital infusion lets the AI leader sidestep public market pressures amid heavy cash burn (projected $14–19 billion losses on $25 billion 2026 revenue) and a lofty 28x sales multiple drawing investor skepticism. Ultra-high cap outcomes like 1.5T+ (8.5%) capture hype from ChatGPT dominance and enterprise growth but hinge on flawless execution against rivals like Anthropic. Key catalysts ahead: Q4 S-1 filing whispers, profitability updates, or regulatory hurdles that could unlock or derail a trillion-dollar debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,552,534Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—has entrenched the 65.5% implied probability for no IPO by December 31, 2026, as traders bet the capital infusion lets the AI leader sidestep public market pressures amid heavy cash burn (projected $14–19 billion losses on $25 billion 2026 revenue) and a lofty 28x sales multiple drawing investor skepticism. Ultra-high cap outcomes like 1.5T+ (8.5%) capture hype from ChatGPT dominance and enterprise growth but hinge on flawless execution against rivals like Anthropic. Key catalysts ahead: Q4 S-1 filing whispers, profitability updates, or regulatory hurdles that could unlock or derail a trillion-dollar debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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