Market icon

¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?

Market icon

¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?

Maduro - Presidente de Venezuela 100.0%

Título del ítem del grupo: Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía <1%

Xi - Secretario General del Partido Comunista de China <1%

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel <1%

Polymarket

$1,525,514 Vol.

Maduro - Presidente de Venezuela 100.0%

Título del ítem del grupo: Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía <1%

Xi - Secretario General del Partido Comunista de China <1%

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel <1%

Polymarket

$1,525,514 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía

$38,740 Vol.

No

Xi - Secretario General del Partido Comunista de China

$48,966 Vol.

No

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel

$78,837 Vol.

No

Newsom - Gobernador de California

$71,146 Vol.

No

Starmer - Primer Ministro del Reino Unido

$45,995 Vol.

No

Zelenskyy - Presidente de Ucrania

$49,441 Vol.

No

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil

$66,343 Vol.

No

Lecornu - Primer Ministro de Francia

$62,968 Vol.

No

Takaichi - Primer Ministro de Japón

$67,933 Vol.

No

Ninguno antes de 2027

$62,458 Vol.

No

Merz - Canciller alemán

$42,705 Vol.

No

Macron - Presidente de Francia

$58,821 Vol.

No

Kim - Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte

$78,453 Vol.

No

Khamenei - Líder Supremo de Irán

$194,442 Vol.

No

Albanese - Australia PM

$42,750 Vol.

No

Milei - Presidente de Argentina

$46,584 Vol.

No

Trump - Presidente de EE. UU.

$79,647 Vol.

No

Putin - Presidente de Rusia

$38,323 Vol.

No

al-Assad - Presidente de Siria

$5,840 Vol.

No

Maduro - Presidente de Venezuela

$194,815 Vol.

Schoof - Primer Ministro de los Países Bajos

$73,322 Vol.

No

Abbas - Presidente de Palestina

$41,206 Vol.

No

Sánchez - Presidente del Gobierno de España

$35,781 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,525,514
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:45 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maduro - Presidente de Venezuela" at 100%, followed by "Título del ítem del grupo: Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?" is "Maduro - Presidente de Venezuela" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Título del ítem del grupo: Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿El próximo líder dejará el poder antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.