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Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

$678,660 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,660 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$185,896 Vol.

<1%

30 de abril

$114,064 Vol.

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NASA Artemis II" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 78%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "NASA Artemis II" ha generado $678.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "NASA Artemis II", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NASA Artemis II" es "30 de abril" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NASA Artemis II" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.