Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoJunio 38%
Julio 12.4%
Noviembre 9.4%
Septiembre 8.3%
Marzo
1%
Abril
9%
Mayo
6%
Junio
33%
Julio
12%
Agosto
8%
Septiembre
11%
Octubre
4%
Noviembre
9%
Diciembre
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
12%
Junio 38%
Julio 12.4%
Noviembre 9.4%
Septiembre 8.3%
Marzo
1%
Abril
9%
Mayo
6%
Junio
33%
Julio
12%
Agosto
8%
Septiembre
11%
Octubre
4%
Noviembre
9%
Diciembre
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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