Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 48% implied probability, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's March 2025 statement explicitly ruling it out amid ample private funding and no financial distress signals. The AI search engine's rapid ascent to a $20 billion valuation via a September 2025 funding round, fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model orchestration (routing queries across Claude, Gemini, and others), bolsters bets on high-end outcomes like 50B–75B (28.5%) or 40B–50B (23.1%) post-2028. Recent legal friction—including an April 2026 lawsuit alleging user data sharing with Meta and Google, plus ongoing Amazon and publisher disputes over scraping—dampens near-term listing prospects, with internal projections eyeing $656 million revenue by year-end as a key sentiment pivot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 48%
$50B–$75B 28.4%
40B–50B 16.8%
100 mil millones+ 4.6%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 mil millones
3%
$20–30 mil millones
3%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
22%
$50B–$75B
28%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
3%
100 mil millones+
5%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
48%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 48%
$50B–$75B 28.4%
40B–50B 16.8%
100 mil millones+ 4.6%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 mil millones
$4,381 Vol.
3%
$20–30 mil millones
$5,711 Vol.
3%
30B–40B
$0 Vol.
4%
40B–50B
$0 Vol.
22%
$50B–$75B
$6,171 Vol.
28%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
$3,177 Vol.
3%
100 mil millones+
$0 Vol.
5%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$104,914 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 48% implied probability, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's March 2025 statement explicitly ruling it out amid ample private funding and no financial distress signals. The AI search engine's rapid ascent to a $20 billion valuation via a September 2025 funding round, fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model orchestration (routing queries across Claude, Gemini, and others), bolsters bets on high-end outcomes like 50B–75B (28.5%) or 40B–50B (23.1%) post-2028. Recent legal friction—including an April 2026 lawsuit alleging user data sharing with Meta and Google, plus ongoing Amazon and publisher disputes over scraping—dampens near-term listing prospects, with internal projections eyeing $656 million revenue by year-end as a key sentiment pivot.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$124,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 48% implied probability, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's March 2025 statement explicitly ruling it out amid ample private funding and no financial distress signals. The AI search engine's rapid ascent to a $20 billion valuation via a September 2025 funding round, fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model orchestration (routing queries across Claude, Gemini, and others), bolsters bets on high-end outcomes like 50B–75B (28.5%) or 40B–50B (23.1%) post-2028. Recent legal friction—including an April 2026 lawsuit alleging user data sharing with Meta and Google, plus ongoing Amazon and publisher disputes over scraping—dampens near-term listing prospects, with internal projections eyeing $656 million revenue by year-end as a key sentiment pivot.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$124,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 48% implied probability, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's March 2025 statement explicitly ruling it out amid ample private funding and no financial distress signals. The AI search engine's rapid ascent to a $20 billion valuation via a September 2025 funding round, fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model orchestration (routing queries across Claude, Gemini, and others), bolsters bets on high-end outcomes like 50B–75B (28.5%) or 40B–50B (23.1%) post-2028. Recent legal friction—including an April 2026 lawsuit alleging user data sharing with Meta and Google, plus ongoing Amazon and publisher disputes over scraping—dampens near-term listing prospects, with internal projections eyeing $656 million revenue by year-end as a key sentiment pivot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes