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How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Market icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Título del ítem del grupo: 160-179 100.0%

Título del ítem del grupo: <100 <1%

Título del ítem del grupo: 100-119 <1%

120-139 <1%

Polymarket

$507,118 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: 160-179 100.0%

Título del ítem del grupo: <100 <1%

Título del ítem del grupo: 100-119 <1%

120-139 <1%

Polymarket

$507,118 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: <100

$12,837 Vol.

No

Título del ítem del grupo: 100-119

$32,897 Vol.

No

120-139

$27,240 Vol.

No

Título del grupo: 140-159

$61,588 Vol.

No

Título del ítem del grupo: 160-179

$88,574 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: 180-199

$103,113 Vol.

No

200 o más

$180,870 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 100 (inclusive) and 119 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.
Volumen
$507,118
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 30, 2024, 10:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 100 (inclusive) and 119 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Título del ítem del grupo: 160-179" at 100%, followed by "Título del ítem del grupo: <100" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" has generated $507.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" is "Título del ítem del grupo: 160-179" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Título del ítem del grupo: <100" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.