Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 Vol.
$70,604 Vol.
3 abr 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 Vol.
$70,604 Vol.
3 abr 2026
15°C or below
$1,705 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,064 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,123 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,608 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,442 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,224 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,723 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,497 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,059 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$12,487 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$9,670 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$70,604Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$70,604Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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