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Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

11°C or higher 83%

3°C 6%

10°C 6%

2°C 5%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C or higher 83%

3°C 6%

10°C 6%

2°C 5%

Polymarket
NEW

1°C or below

$25 Vol.

4%

2°C

$15 Vol.

5%

3°C

$15 Vol.

6%

4°C

$15 Vol.

8%

5°C

$15 Vol.

9%

6°C

$15 Vol.

10%

7°C

$15 Vol.

12%

8°C

$15 Vol.

10%

9°C

$15 Vol.

14%

10°C

$15 Vol.

13%

11°C or higher

$119 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "11°C or higher" con 83%, seguido de "9°C" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 83¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?" es "11°C or higher" con 83%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "9°C" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.