Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

17°C or higher 54%

14°C 48%

16°C 42%

15°C 41%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C or higher 54%

14°C 48%

16°C 42%

15°C 41%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$100 Vol.

2%

8°C

$0 Vol.

41%

9°C

$0 Vol.

41%

10°C

$0 Vol.

41%

11°C

$0 Vol.

40%

12°C

$0 Vol.

41%

13°C

$0 Vol.

41%

14°C

$4 Vol.

48%

15°C

$0 Vol.

41%

16°C

$0 Vol.

42%

17°C or higher

$133 Vol.

69%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at 69% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 1, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting highs up to 17°C amid spreads of 8–17°C, following late-March mild conditions with observed highs around 16–17°C under hazy sunshine. This positions above-climatology outcomes ahead, as early April norms hover near 9°C per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, with spring warming enhanced by a persistent high-pressure influence. Specific temperatures like 14°C (47.5%) reflect central model tendencies aligning with Yandex forecasts near 14°C, while 7°C or below lingers at 3% due to low risk of cold relapse. Daily model updates through resolution will refine these odds.

Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at 69% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 1, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting highs up to 17°C amid spreads of 8–17°C, following late-March mild conditions with observed highs around 16–17°C under hazy sunshine. This positions above-climatology outcomes ahead, as early April norms hover near 9°C per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, with spring warming enhanced by a persistent high-pressure influence. Specific temperatures like 14°C (47.5%) reflect central model tendencies aligning with Yandex forecasts near 14°C, while 7°C or below lingers at 3% due to low risk of cold relapse. Daily model updates through resolution will refine these odds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at 69% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 1, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting highs up to 17°C amid spreads of 8–17°C, following late-March mild conditions with observed highs around 16–17°C under hazy sunshine. This positions above-climatology outcomes ahead, as early April norms hover near 9°C per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, with spring warming enhanced by a persistent high-pressure influence. Specific temperatures like 14°C (47.5%) reflect central model tendencies aligning with Yandex forecasts near 14°C, while 7°C or below lingers at 3% due to low risk of cold relapse. Daily model updates through resolution will refine these odds.

Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at 69% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 1, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting highs up to 17°C amid spreads of 8–17°C, following late-March mild conditions with observed highs around 16–17°C under hazy sunshine. This positions above-climatology outcomes ahead, as early April norms hover near 9°C per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, with spring warming enhanced by a persistent high-pressure influence. Specific temperatures like 14°C (47.5%) reflect central model tendencies aligning with Yandex forecasts near 14°C, while 7°C or below lingers at 3% due to low risk of cold relapse. Daily model updates through resolution will refine these odds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C or higher" con 69%, seguido de "14°C" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?" es "17°C or higher" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "14°C" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.