Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Milan's highest temperature on March 18 at around 15°C, fueling trader sentiment with 43.5% implied odds for that mark, ahead of 14°C at 30.5% and 16°C or higher at 24.5%. Mild southerly airflow and above-normal early spring anomalies in northern Italy, tracked by ARPA Lombardia stations, favor these central outcomes over cooler baselines, reflecting March's typical 12-15°C highs. Recent model runs from March 16-17 show convergence on moderate peaks after dialing back prior warmer biases, while lingering jet stream uncertainty caps extremes and bolsters the tight 14-15°C clustering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 18 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 18 de marzo?
15°C 43%
14°C 34%
16°C o más 25%
13°C 6%
$29,650 Vol.
$29,650 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
31%
15°C
43%
16°C o más
25%
15°C 43%
14°C 34%
16°C o más 25%
13°C 6%
$29,650 Vol.
$29,650 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
31%
15°C
43%
16°C o más
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Milan's highest temperature on March 18 at around 15°C, fueling trader sentiment with 43.5% implied odds for that mark, ahead of 14°C at 30.5% and 16°C or higher at 24.5%. Mild southerly airflow and above-normal early spring anomalies in northern Italy, tracked by ARPA Lombardia stations, favor these central outcomes over cooler baselines, reflecting March's typical 12-15°C highs. Recent model runs from March 16-17 show convergence on moderate peaks after dialing back prior warmer biases, while lingering jet stream uncertainty caps extremes and bolsters the tight 14-15°C clustering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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