Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F on April 3, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), where the automated surface observing system recorded a peak of 85°F around 12:15 p.m. amid an unseasonably warm southerly flow and highs 8°F above the April normal of 77°F. Multiple readings clustered at 84-85°F during early afternoon under partly cloudy skies, with no later peaks exceeding this. This observational data provides ironclad support for resolution to this bin per market criteria, though rare post hoc revisions to preliminary climate summaries could theoretically challenge it if cooler validations emerge from quality-controlled datasets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
84-85°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$73,419 Vol.
$73,419 Vol.
3 abr 2026
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$73,419 Vol.
$73,419 Vol.
3 abr 2026
84-85°F
$14,963 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$4,887 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$8,491 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$12,272 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$2,352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F on April 3, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), where the automated surface observing system recorded a peak of 85°F around 12:15 p.m. amid an unseasonably warm southerly flow and highs 8°F above the April normal of 77°F. Multiple readings clustered at 84-85°F during early afternoon under partly cloudy skies, with no later peaks exceeding this. This observational data provides ironclad support for resolution to this bin per market criteria, though rare post hoc revisions to preliminary climate summaries could theoretically challenge it if cooler validations emerge from quality-controlled datasets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volumen
$73,419Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F on April 3, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), where the automated surface observing system recorded a peak of 85°F around 12:15 p.m. amid an unseasonably warm southerly flow and highs 8°F above the April normal of 77°F. Multiple readings clustered at 84-85°F during early afternoon under partly cloudy skies, with no later peaks exceeding this. This observational data provides ironclad support for resolution to this bin per market criteria, though rare post hoc revisions to preliminary climate summaries could theoretically challenge it if cooler validations emerge from quality-controlled datasets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,419Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F on April 3, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), where the automated surface observing system recorded a peak of 85°F around 12:15 p.m. amid an unseasonably warm southerly flow and highs 8°F above the April normal of 77°F. Multiple readings clustered at 84-85°F during early afternoon under partly cloudy skies, with no later peaks exceeding this. This observational data provides ironclad support for resolution to this bin per market criteria, though rare post hoc revisions to preliminary climate summaries could theoretically challenge it if cooler validations emerge from quality-controlled datasets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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