MetService's latest extended forecast projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers (50% chance of 1+ mm rain), anchoring trader consensus around 18–19°C with equal implied probabilities at 22.5% each. This reflects model agreement on mild northerly flow from a potential rainmaker system noted in NIWA's March–May outlook, favoring above-average temperatures (50% chance) during ENSO-neutral conditions, versus historical early-April averages near 17.8°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peaks to 17–18°C or brief clearings and wind-driven mixing boosting to 20°C; uncertainty persists as daily updates from MetService could refine trajectories closer to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
18°C 23%
19°C 23%
21°C 17.5%
16°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
16%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
14%
18°C 23%
19°C 23%
21°C 17.5%
16°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
12°C or below
$418 Vol.
1%
13°C
$263 Vol.
1%
14°C
$268 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$101 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers (50% chance of 1+ mm rain), anchoring trader consensus around 18–19°C with equal implied probabilities at 22.5% each. This reflects model agreement on mild northerly flow from a potential rainmaker system noted in NIWA's March–May outlook, favoring above-average temperatures (50% chance) during ENSO-neutral conditions, versus historical early-April averages near 17.8°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peaks to 17–18°C or brief clearings and wind-driven mixing boosting to 20°C; uncertainty persists as daily updates from MetService could refine trajectories closer to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,049Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers (50% chance of 1+ mm rain), anchoring trader consensus around 18–19°C with equal implied probabilities at 22.5% each. This reflects model agreement on mild northerly flow from a potential rainmaker system noted in NIWA's March–May outlook, favoring above-average temperatures (50% chance) during ENSO-neutral conditions, versus historical early-April averages near 17.8°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peaks to 17–18°C or brief clearings and wind-driven mixing boosting to 20°C; uncertainty persists as daily updates from MetService could refine trajectories closer to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,049Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest extended forecast projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers (50% chance of 1+ mm rain), anchoring trader consensus around 18–19°C with equal implied probabilities at 22.5% each. This reflects model agreement on mild northerly flow from a potential rainmaker system noted in NIWA's March–May outlook, favoring above-average temperatures (50% chance) during ENSO-neutral conditions, versus historical early-April averages near 17.8°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peaks to 17–18°C or brief clearings and wind-driven mixing boosting to 20°C; uncertainty persists as daily updates from MetService could refine trajectories closer to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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