Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 19%
68°F or higher 19%
58-59°F 19%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
35%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 19%
68°F or higher 19%
58-59°F 19%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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