Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, with equal implied probabilities across outcomes from 5°C or below to 13°C, driven by divergent short-range model outputs amid variable spring weather patterns. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast, issued early April 3, projects a maximum of 11°C under heavily overcast skies with 20% sunshine, light rain (1 mm, 60% chance), and southwest winds at force 4, limiting solar heating and capping peaks near climatological early-April norms of 11–12°C. Ensemble spreads in the KNMI Weerpluim indicate potential swings from persistent clouds holding temps near 6–8°C to brief clearings pushing toward 13°C; real-time observations from Schiphol Airport station will resolve the market, with updates throughout the day clarifying cloud evolution and insolation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de abril?
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 30%
13°C 25.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 abr 2026
5°C o menos
2%
6°C
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
6%
9°C
6%
10°C
30%
11°C
30%
12°C
30%
13°C
26%
14°C
6%
15°C o más
6%
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 30%
13°C 25.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 abr 2026
5°C o menos
$145 Vol.
2%
6°C
$178 Vol.
2%
7°C
$120 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
6%
9°C
$4 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$4 Vol.
30%
12°C
$4 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, with equal implied probabilities across outcomes from 5°C or below to 13°C, driven by divergent short-range model outputs amid variable spring weather patterns. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast, issued early April 3, projects a maximum of 11°C under heavily overcast skies with 20% sunshine, light rain (1 mm, 60% chance), and southwest winds at force 4, limiting solar heating and capping peaks near climatological early-April norms of 11–12°C. Ensemble spreads in the KNMI Weerpluim indicate potential swings from persistent clouds holding temps near 6–8°C to brief clearings pushing toward 13°C; real-time observations from Schiphol Airport station will resolve the market, with updates throughout the day clarifying cloud evolution and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volumen
$445Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, with equal implied probabilities across outcomes from 5°C or below to 13°C, driven by divergent short-range model outputs amid variable spring weather patterns. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast, issued early April 3, projects a maximum of 11°C under heavily overcast skies with 20% sunshine, light rain (1 mm, 60% chance), and southwest winds at force 4, limiting solar heating and capping peaks near climatological early-April norms of 11–12°C. Ensemble spreads in the KNMI Weerpluim indicate potential swings from persistent clouds holding temps near 6–8°C to brief clearings pushing toward 13°C; real-time observations from Schiphol Airport station will resolve the market, with updates throughout the day clarifying cloud evolution and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$445Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, with equal implied probabilities across outcomes from 5°C or below to 13°C, driven by divergent short-range model outputs amid variable spring weather patterns. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast, issued early April 3, projects a maximum of 11°C under heavily overcast skies with 20% sunshine, light rain (1 mm, 60% chance), and southwest winds at force 4, limiting solar heating and capping peaks near climatological early-April norms of 11–12°C. Ensemble spreads in the KNMI Weerpluim indicate potential swings from persistent clouds holding temps near 6–8°C to brief clearings pushing toward 13°C; real-time observations from Schiphol Airport station will resolve the market, with updates throughout the day clarifying cloud evolution and insolation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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