National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, point to a high near 41°F today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeast winds around 15 mph in a post-cold-frontal environment, driving trader consensus toward 42-43°F at 45% implied probability. This setup limits solar insolation and diurnal heating, with ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 40s°F, well below the April 1 climatological normal of 53.3°F. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud breaks that could push temps into 44-45°F territory (28.5%), while prolonged precipitation favors 40-41°F (19.8%); monitor hourly observations and late-day updates for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
42-43°F 47%
44-45°F 28%
40-41°F 21.6%
46-47°F 9%
$77,225 Vol.
$77,225 Vol.
1 abr 2026
33°F or below
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
22%
42-43°F
47%
44-45°F
28%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
42-43°F 47%
44-45°F 28%
40-41°F 21.6%
46-47°F 9%
$77,225 Vol.
$77,225 Vol.
1 abr 2026
33°F or below
$6,391 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$6,622 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$8,804 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$6,831 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$6,266 Vol.
22%
42-43°F
$4,938 Vol.
47%
44-45°F
$5,187 Vol.
28%
46-47°F
$5,010 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$4,981 Vol.
3%
50-51°F
$5,551 Vol.
1%
52°F or higher
$16,886 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, point to a high near 41°F today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeast winds around 15 mph in a post-cold-frontal environment, driving trader consensus toward 42-43°F at 45% implied probability. This setup limits solar insolation and diurnal heating, with ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 40s°F, well below the April 1 climatological normal of 53.3°F. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud breaks that could push temps into 44-45°F territory (28.5%), while prolonged precipitation favors 40-41°F (19.8%); monitor hourly observations and late-day updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volumen
$77,225Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, point to a high near 41°F today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeast winds around 15 mph in a post-cold-frontal environment, driving trader consensus toward 42-43°F at 45% implied probability. This setup limits solar insolation and diurnal heating, with ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 40s°F, well below the April 1 climatological normal of 53.3°F. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud breaks that could push temps into 44-45°F territory (28.5%), while prolonged precipitation favors 40-41°F (19.8%); monitor hourly observations and late-day updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$77,225Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, point to a high near 41°F today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeast winds around 15 mph in a post-cold-frontal environment, driving trader consensus toward 42-43°F at 45% implied probability. This setup limits solar insolation and diurnal heating, with ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 40s°F, well below the April 1 climatological normal of 53.3°F. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud breaks that could push temps into 44-45°F territory (28.5%), while prolonged precipitation favors 40-41°F (19.8%); monitor hourly observations and late-day updates for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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