Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (40%) and 23°C (38.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by latest forecast models projecting peaks near 24°C amid overcast skies and light winds. Early morning observations show clear conditions at 11°C with 94% humidity, but increasing cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m.), per TimeandDate hourly guidance showing 24°C maxima before evening showers. This reflects model uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF ensembles vary by 1°C due to cloud timing—against April climatological averages of 22°C highs. Real-time airport readings this afternoon will clarify the outcome as traders weigh persistent overcast suppressing temperatures below 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
24°C 44%
23°C 40%
25°C 11.8%
26°C 4.7%
$59,260 Vol.
$59,260 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
40%
24°C
44%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 40%
25°C 11.8%
26°C 4.7%
$59,260 Vol.
$59,260 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
$6,494 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8,362 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,434 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,339 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,837 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,111 Vol.
40%
24°C
$2,967 Vol.
44%
25°C
$4,162 Vol.
12%
26°C
$4,303 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$4,217 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (40%) and 23°C (38.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by latest forecast models projecting peaks near 24°C amid overcast skies and light winds. Early morning observations show clear conditions at 11°C with 94% humidity, but increasing cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m.), per TimeandDate hourly guidance showing 24°C maxima before evening showers. This reflects model uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF ensembles vary by 1°C due to cloud timing—against April climatological averages of 22°C highs. Real-time airport readings this afternoon will clarify the outcome as traders weigh persistent overcast suppressing temperatures below 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$59,260Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (40%) and 23°C (38.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by latest forecast models projecting peaks near 24°C amid overcast skies and light winds. Early morning observations show clear conditions at 11°C with 94% humidity, but increasing cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m.), per TimeandDate hourly guidance showing 24°C maxima before evening showers. This reflects model uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF ensembles vary by 1°C due to cloud timing—against April climatological averages of 22°C highs. Real-time airport readings this afternoon will clarify the outcome as traders weigh persistent overcast suppressing temperatures below 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,260Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (40%) and 23°C (38.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by latest forecast models projecting peaks near 24°C amid overcast skies and light winds. Early morning observations show clear conditions at 11°C with 94% humidity, but increasing cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m.), per TimeandDate hourly guidance showing 24°C maxima before evening showers. This reflects model uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF ensembles vary by 1°C due to cloud timing—against April climatological averages of 22°C highs. Real-time airport readings this afternoon will clarify the outcome as traders weigh persistent overcast suppressing temperatures below 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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