Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (46%) and 24°C (45.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, driven by the latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a tight 23-24°C spread. Overcast conditions with light rain potential per CMA limit solar insolation and daytime heating, favoring 23°C, while intervals of sunshine in AccuWeather projections (76°F high) and mild ESE winds could enable a 24°C peak amid low precipitation odds (5%). Early April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but current mild air mass adds warmth; key uncertainty lies in intraday cloud evolution, with hourly METAR observations from the station providing resolution cues throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
23°C 60%
24°C 37%
25°C 3.5%
26°C <1%
$62,884 Vol.
$62,884 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
60%
24°C
37%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 60%
24°C 37%
25°C 3.5%
26°C <1%
$62,884 Vol.
$62,884 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
$6,494 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,505 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,051 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,629 Vol.
60%
24°C
$3,389 Vol.
37%
25°C
$5,697 Vol.
3%
26°C
$4,868 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$4,585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (46%) and 24°C (45.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, driven by the latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a tight 23-24°C spread. Overcast conditions with light rain potential per CMA limit solar insolation and daytime heating, favoring 23°C, while intervals of sunshine in AccuWeather projections (76°F high) and mild ESE winds could enable a 24°C peak amid low precipitation odds (5%). Early April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but current mild air mass adds warmth; key uncertainty lies in intraday cloud evolution, with hourly METAR observations from the station providing resolution cues throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$62,884Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (46%) and 24°C (45.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, driven by the latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a tight 23-24°C spread. Overcast conditions with light rain potential per CMA limit solar insolation and daytime heating, favoring 23°C, while intervals of sunshine in AccuWeather projections (76°F high) and mild ESE winds could enable a 24°C peak amid low precipitation odds (5%). Early April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but current mild air mass adds warmth; key uncertainty lies in intraday cloud evolution, with hourly METAR observations from the station providing resolution cues throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,884Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (46%) and 24°C (45.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, driven by the latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a tight 23-24°C spread. Overcast conditions with light rain potential per CMA limit solar insolation and daytime heating, favoring 23°C, while intervals of sunshine in AccuWeather projections (76°F high) and mild ESE winds could enable a 24°C peak amid low precipitation odds (5%). Early April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but current mild air mass adds warmth; key uncertainty lies in intraday cloud evolution, with hourly METAR observations from the station providing resolution cues throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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