Market icon

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?

Market icon

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?

280-299 45%

260-279 44.4%

300-319 9%

320-339 1.4%

Polymarket

$9,595,086 Vol.

280-299 45%

260-279 44.4%

300-319 9%

320-339 1.4%

Polymarket

$9,595,086 Vol.

240-259

$1,102,933 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$533,916 Vol.

44%

280-299

$546,238 Vol.

45%

300-319

$463,309 Vol.

9%

320-339

$474,911 Vol.

1%

340-359

$565,626 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$558,970 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$476,024 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$395,177 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$400,574 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$287,345 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$342,108 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$374,540 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$190,683 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$190,271 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$184,823 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$140,532 Vol.

<1%

Más de 580

$249,199 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket sharply clusters around Elon Musk posting 260-299 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, with 260-279 (43.8%) edging 280-299 (42.5%) based on his recent average of 37-41 daily posts—totaling roughly 260-290 weekly amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, and pop culture clashes. No major shifts in the past 30 days, as February-March output stabilized post-election frenzy, down from 2024 peaks exceeding 50/day during political rallies. The razor-thin split hinges on event-driven spikes: a Starship test or AI controversy could tip higher, while routine weeks favor the lower bin; traders watch for cultural catalysts like viral memes or regulatory news to break the deadlock before chart lock.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,595,086
Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket sharply clusters around Elon Musk posting 260-299 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, with 260-279 (43.8%) edging 280-299 (42.5%) based on his recent average of 37-41 daily posts—totaling roughly 260-290 weekly amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, and pop culture clashes. No major shifts in the past 30 days, as February-March output stabilized post-election frenzy, down from 2024 peaks exceeding 50/day during political rallies. The razor-thin split hinges on event-driven spikes: a Starship test or AI controversy could tip higher, while routine weeks favor the lower bin; traders watch for cultural catalysts like viral memes or regulatory news to break the deadlock before chart lock.

Trader consensus on Polymarket sharply clusters around Elon Musk posting 260-299 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, with 260-279 (43.8%) edging 280-299 (42.5%) based on his recent average of 37-41 daily posts—totaling roughly 260-290 weekly amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, and pop culture clashes. No major shifts in the past 30 days, as February-March output stabilized post-election frenzy, down from 2024 peaks exceeding 50/day during political rallies. The razor-thin split hinges on event-driven spikes: a Starship test or AI controversy could tip higher, while routine weeks favor the lower bin; traders watch for cultural catalysts like viral memes or regulatory news to break the deadlock before chart lock.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "280-299" con 45%, seguido de "260-279" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?" ha generado $9.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?" es "280-299" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "260-279" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 20 al 27 de marzo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.