Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth in a tight 640-670 billion range by March 31, with the 650-660 billion bin leading at 28.5% implied probability, reflecting Tesla's recent share price rally amid AI optimism and policy tailwinds from Musk's Department of Government Efficiency role. Tesla stock surged 12% over the past week following strong Q4 energy storage deployments and Cybertruck production ramps, boosting Musk's ~13% stake value toward 200 billion, while SpaceX's 350 billion private valuation contributes ~150 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on EV demand signals versus China competition, with uncertainty around Q1 delivery figures due March 25 potentially swaying the outcome by 20-30 billion. Markets embed ~50% odds of sub-670 billion amid broader auto sector margin pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado650-660 mil millones 28%
640-650 mil millones 22%
660-670 mil millones 16%
<640 mil millones 13%
$429,483 Vol.
$429,483 Vol.
<640 mil millones
13%
640-650 mil millones
22%
650-660 mil millones
28%
660-670 mil millones
16%
$670-680 mil millones
7%
680-690 mil millones
8%
$690-$700 mil millones
2%
700-710 mil millones
2%
710 mil millones o más
6%
650-660 mil millones 28%
640-650 mil millones 22%
660-670 mil millones 16%
<640 mil millones 13%
$429,483 Vol.
$429,483 Vol.
<640 mil millones
13%
640-650 mil millones
22%
650-660 mil millones
28%
660-670 mil millones
16%
$670-680 mil millones
7%
680-690 mil millones
8%
$690-$700 mil millones
2%
700-710 mil millones
2%
710 mil millones o más
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth in a tight 640-670 billion range by March 31, with the 650-660 billion bin leading at 28.5% implied probability, reflecting Tesla's recent share price rally amid AI optimism and policy tailwinds from Musk's Department of Government Efficiency role. Tesla stock surged 12% over the past week following strong Q4 energy storage deployments and Cybertruck production ramps, boosting Musk's ~13% stake value toward 200 billion, while SpaceX's 350 billion private valuation contributes ~150 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on EV demand signals versus China competition, with uncertainty around Q1 delivery figures due March 25 potentially swaying the outcome by 20-30 billion. Markets embed ~50% odds of sub-670 billion amid broader auto sector margin pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes