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Elecciones·Recompensas 10, 4.5, 50

Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh

Market icon
Elecciones·Recompensas 10, 4.5, 50

Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh

BNP 9%+ 99.2%

Otro <1%

BJI 6%+ <1%

BNP 6–9% <1%

Polymarket

$178,405 Vol.

BNP 9%+ 99.2%

Otro <1%

BJI 6%+ <1%

BNP 6–9% <1%

Polymarket

$178,405 Vol.

BNP 9%+

$45,608 Vol.

99%

BNP 6–9%

$0 Vol.

<1%

BNP 3–6%

$11,826 Vol.

<1%

BNP <3%

$11,312 Vol.

<1%

BJI <3%

$14,446 Vol.

<1%

BJI 3–6%

$11,409 Vol.

<1%

BJI 6%+

$50,331 Vol.

1%

Otro

$33,473 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two political parties in the election for the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad).

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place parties. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If the two listed parties receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the party whose listed abbreviation comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by October 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$178,405
Fecha de finalización
Feb 12, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two political parties in the election for the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place parties. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If the two listed parties receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the party whose listed abbreviation comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by October 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BNP 9%+" at 99%, followed by "BJI 6%+" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh" has generated $178.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh" is "BNP 9%+" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "BJI 6%+" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Margen de victoria en las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.