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Ireland General Election

Market icon

Ireland General Election

Fianna Fáil (FF) 99.8%

Other <1%

Sinn Féin (SF) <1%

Fine Gael (FG) <1%

Polymarket

$1,546,349 Vol.

Fianna Fáil (FF) 99.8%

Other <1%

Sinn Féin (SF) <1%

Fine Gael (FG) <1%

Polymarket

$1,546,349 Vol.

Market icon

Sinn Féin (SF)

$387,796 Vol.

No

Market icon

Fianna Fáil (FF)

$540,920 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Fine Gael (FG)

$463,430 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$154,202 Vol.

No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fianna Fáil (FF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fianna Fáil (FF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fine Gael (FG) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fine Gael (FG), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SF, FF, or FG wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by each individual party, not any coalition or alliance of which that party may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election.

If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Volumen
$1,546,349
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2024, 11:23 AM ET
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fianna Fáil (FF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fianna Fáil (FF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fine Gael (FG) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fine Gael (FG), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SF, FF, or FG wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by each individual party, not any coalition or alliance of which that party may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election.

If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Volumen
$1,546,349
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2024, 11:23 AM ET
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ireland General Election" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Fianna Fáil (FF)" con 100%, seguido de "Sinn Féin (SF)" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ireland General Election" ha generado $1.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ireland General Election", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ireland General Election" es "Fianna Fáil (FF)" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sinn Féin (SF)" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ireland General Election" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.