Recent Marquette Law School polling from March 11–18 reveals highly fragmented primaries for the open-seat Wisconsin governor race, with 65% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans undecided despite U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading the GOP field at 40% and state Rep. Francesca Hong topping Democrats at 14%. This uncertainty, coupled with President Trump's 39% approval in the state, bolsters trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 76%, reflecting the party's path-to-victory in recent gubernatorial contests amid battleground dynamics. Earlier March TIPP and Patriot surveys show tight general election hypotheticals, but low volume underscores skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout edges ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
76%
Republikaner
18%
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$10,166 Vol.
76%
Republikaner
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Marquette Law School polling from March 11–18 reveals highly fragmented primaries for the open-seat Wisconsin governor race, with 65% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans undecided despite U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading the GOP field at 40% and state Rep. Francesca Hong topping Democrats at 14%. This uncertainty, coupled with President Trump's 39% approval in the state, bolsters trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 76%, reflecting the party's path-to-victory in recent gubernatorial contests amid battleground dynamics. Earlier March TIPP and Patriot surveys show tight general election hypotheticals, but low volume underscores skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout edges ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$10,166Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Marquette Law School polling from March 11–18 reveals highly fragmented primaries for the open-seat Wisconsin governor race, with 65% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans undecided despite U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading the GOP field at 40% and state Rep. Francesca Hong topping Democrats at 14%. This uncertainty, coupled with President Trump's 39% approval in the state, bolsters trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 76%, reflecting the party's path-to-victory in recent gubernatorial contests amid battleground dynamics. Earlier March TIPP and Patriot surveys show tight general election hypotheticals, but low volume underscores skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout edges ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,166Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Marquette Law School polling from March 11–18 reveals highly fragmented primaries for the open-seat Wisconsin governor race, with 65% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans undecided despite U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading the GOP field at 40% and state Rep. Francesca Hong topping Democrats at 14%. This uncertainty, coupled with President Trump's 39% approval in the state, bolsters trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 76%, reflecting the party's path-to-victory in recent gubernatorial contests amid battleground dynamics. Earlier March TIPP and Patriot surveys show tight general election hypotheticals, but low volume underscores skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout edges ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen