David Crowley's narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong in August, bolstered by Governor Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley's brief campaign suspension and reentry, has consolidated party support behind the Milwaukee County executive in this open-seat contest. Recent polls through late August show Crowley holding a 3- to 5-point edge among likely voters against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany, driven by stronger independent and Democratic turnout signals. Tiffany secured the Republican nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Freedom Caucus member from a rural district in a state where Democrats have held the governorship since 2018. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing also incorporates Crowley's September proposals on ethics reforms and Tiffany's heavier ad spending disadvantage. The November 3 election remains subject to shifts from turnout, economic messaging, and late developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Wisconsin
Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Wisconsin
$587,492 Vol.
$587,492 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
17%
$587,492 Vol.
$587,492 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$315,248 Vol.
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$272,244 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong in August, bolstered by Governor Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley's brief campaign suspension and reentry, has consolidated party support behind the Milwaukee County executive in this open-seat contest. Recent polls through late August show Crowley holding a 3- to 5-point edge among likely voters against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany, driven by stronger independent and Democratic turnout signals. Tiffany secured the Republican nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Freedom Caucus member from a rural district in a state where Democrats have held the governorship since 2018. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing also incorporates Crowley's September proposals on ethics reforms and Tiffany's heavier ad spending disadvantage. The November 3 election remains subject to shifts from turnout, economic messaging, and late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$587,492Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong in August, bolstered by Governor Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley's brief campaign suspension and reentry, has consolidated party support behind the Milwaukee County executive in this open-seat contest. Recent polls through late August show Crowley holding a 3- to 5-point edge among likely voters against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany, driven by stronger independent and Democratic turnout signals. Tiffany secured the Republican nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Freedom Caucus member from a rural district in a state where Democrats have held the governorship since 2018. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing also incorporates Crowley's September proposals on ethics reforms and Tiffany's heavier ad spending disadvantage. The November 3 election remains subject to shifts from turnout, economic messaging, and late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$587,492Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley's narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong in August, bolstered by Governor Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley's brief campaign suspension and reentry, has consolidated party support behind the Milwaukee County executive in this open-seat contest. Recent polls through late August show Crowley holding a 3- to 5-point edge among likely voters against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany, driven by stronger independent and Democratic turnout signals. Tiffany secured the Republican nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Freedom Caucus member from a rural district in a state where Democrats have held the governorship since 2018. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing also incorporates Crowley's September proposals on ethics reforms and Tiffany's heavier ad spending disadvantage. The November 3 election remains subject to shifts from turnout, economic messaging, and late developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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