U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by recent Marquette and Patriot polls showing him at 40-65% support among likely voters, far ahead of challenger Andy Manske at 6%. President Trump's January 28 endorsement consolidated GOP backing, prompting Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann's same-day withdrawal and leaving a clear field after earlier exits like Bill Berrien. Declined bids from high-profile figures including Tim Michels, Rebecca Kleefisch, and Tommy Thompson—despite lingering low-odds bets on the latter—underscore Tiffany's frontrunner status, bolstered by endorsements from multiple U.S. House Republicans and 21 county sheriffs, with four months until the primary vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTom Tiffany 88%
Tommy Thompson 6.6%
Andy Manske 1.3%
Rebecca Kleefisch 1.1%
$72,615 Vol.
$72,615 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
88%
Tommy Thompson
7%
Andy Manske
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
1%
Tom Tiffany 88%
Tommy Thompson 6.6%
Andy Manske 1.3%
Rebecca Kleefisch 1.1%
$72,615 Vol.
$72,615 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
88%
Tommy Thompson
7%
Andy Manske
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by recent Marquette and Patriot polls showing him at 40-65% support among likely voters, far ahead of challenger Andy Manske at 6%. President Trump's January 28 endorsement consolidated GOP backing, prompting Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann's same-day withdrawal and leaving a clear field after earlier exits like Bill Berrien. Declined bids from high-profile figures including Tim Michels, Rebecca Kleefisch, and Tommy Thompson—despite lingering low-odds bets on the latter—underscore Tiffany's frontrunner status, bolstered by endorsements from multiple U.S. House Republicans and 21 county sheriffs, with four months until the primary vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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