U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability for the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by President Trump's January 28 endorsement that prompted challengers like Josh Schoemann to exit, effectively clearing the field after Tiffany's September 2025 campaign launch. His perfect alignment with Trump-era priorities, backing from major donors including the Uihleins and Diane Hendricks, and unified grassroots support per recent polling have solidified his frontrunner status in this open-seat contest to challenge Democrats. Former Gov. Tommy Thompson trails at 6.7% amid rumors of a late entry despite his age, while others linger below 2% lacking momentum; late scandals or high-profile drop-ins could shift odds before primary day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTom Tiffany 89%
Tommy Thompson 6.7%
Andy Manske 1.3%
Eric Hovde 1.2%
$72,756 Vol.
$72,756 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
89%
Tommy Thompson
7%
Andy Manske
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Sean Duffy
1%
Tom Tiffany 89%
Tommy Thompson 6.7%
Andy Manske 1.3%
Eric Hovde 1.2%
$72,756 Vol.
$72,756 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
89%
Tommy Thompson
7%
Andy Manske
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Sean Duffy
1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability for the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by President Trump's January 28 endorsement that prompted challengers like Josh Schoemann to exit, effectively clearing the field after Tiffany's September 2025 campaign launch. His perfect alignment with Trump-era priorities, backing from major donors including the Uihleins and Diane Hendricks, and unified grassroots support per recent polling have solidified his frontrunner status in this open-seat contest to challenge Democrats. Former Gov. Tommy Thompson trails at 6.7% amid rumors of a late entry despite his age, while others linger below 2% lacking momentum; late scandals or high-profile drop-ins could shift odds before primary day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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