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Economy·Fed Rates

Wird Christopher Waller der nächsten Fed-Entscheidung widersprechen?

Market icon
Economy·Fed Rates

Wird Christopher Waller der nächsten Fed-Entscheidung widersprechen?

Ja

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$18,136 Vol.

Ja

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$18,136 Vol.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,136
Enddatum
18. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,136
Enddatum
18. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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