Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 97% "No" due to insurmountable U.S. constitutional barriers for admitting new states, requiring congressional approval, a majority vote in both Senate and House, and consent from Venezuela's government and residents—none feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's grip on power following the disputed July 28 presidential election. Opposition leader Edmundo González's claimed victory drew U.S. and allied non-recognition of Maduro's win, escalating sanctions and diplomatic isolation, but U.S. policy prioritizes democratic transition over territorial integration. No legislative proposals, endorsements, or unification talks exist in Congress or from the Biden administration. Realistic shifts would need total regime collapse, a formal accession request, and unlikely bipartisan support before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Venezuela der 51. Staat?
Wird Venezuela der 51. Staat?
Ja
$100,311 Vol.
$100,311 Vol.
Ja
$100,311 Vol.
$100,311 Vol.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 97% "No" due to insurmountable U.S. constitutional barriers for admitting new states, requiring congressional approval, a majority vote in both Senate and House, and consent from Venezuela's government and residents—none feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's grip on power following the disputed July 28 presidential election. Opposition leader Edmundo González's claimed victory drew U.S. and allied non-recognition of Maduro's win, escalating sanctions and diplomatic isolation, but U.S. policy prioritizes democratic transition over territorial integration. No legislative proposals, endorsements, or unification talks exist in Congress or from the Biden administration. Realistic shifts would need total regime collapse, a formal accession request, and unlikely bipartisan support before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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