Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.3% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3, requiring congressional approval for new states from territories—not sovereign nations like Venezuela—alongside the need for a Venezuelan referendum and dissolution of its government. The US military operation on January 3, 2026, ousted President Nicolás Maduro and prompted transitional cooperation, but no annexation legislation has advanced in Congress amid bipartisan skepticism and international backlash over sovereignty violations. President Trump's March 17 quip post-Venezuela's World Baseball Classic victory fueled brief speculation but lacked follow-through. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented diplomatic alignment, supermajority Senate votes, and policy reversals, with no hearings scheduled before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Venezuela der 51. Staat?
Wird Venezuela der 51. Staat?
Ja
$138,797 Vol.
$138,797 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$138,797 Vol.
$138,797 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.3% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3, requiring congressional approval for new states from territories—not sovereign nations like Venezuela—alongside the need for a Venezuelan referendum and dissolution of its government. The US military operation on January 3, 2026, ousted President Nicolás Maduro and prompted transitional cooperation, but no annexation legislation has advanced in Congress amid bipartisan skepticism and international backlash over sovereignty violations. President Trump's March 17 quip post-Venezuela's World Baseball Classic victory fueled brief speculation but lacked follow-through. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented diplomatic alignment, supermajority Senate votes, and policy reversals, with no hearings scheduled before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$138,797Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.3% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3, requiring congressional approval for new states from territories—not sovereign nations like Venezuela—alongside the need for a Venezuelan referendum and dissolution of its government. The US military operation on January 3, 2026, ousted President Nicolás Maduro and prompted transitional cooperation, but no annexation legislation has advanced in Congress amid bipartisan skepticism and international backlash over sovereignty violations. President Trump's March 17 quip post-Venezuela's World Baseball Classic victory fueled brief speculation but lacked follow-through. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented diplomatic alignment, supermajority Senate votes, and policy reversals, with no hearings scheduled before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$138,797Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.3% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3, requiring congressional approval for new states from territories—not sovereign nations like Venezuela—alongside the need for a Venezuelan referendum and dissolution of its government. The US military operation on January 3, 2026, ousted President Nicolás Maduro and prompted transitional cooperation, but no annexation legislation has advanced in Congress amid bipartisan skepticism and international backlash over sovereignty violations. President Trump's March 17 quip post-Venezuela's World Baseball Classic victory fueled brief speculation but lacked follow-through. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented diplomatic alignment, supermajority Senate votes, and policy reversals, with no hearings scheduled before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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