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Geopolitik·Tarife

Will Trump visit China on...?

icon for Will Trump visit China on...?
Geopolitik·Tarife

Will Trump visit China on...?

May 20 97.6%

May 19 97.5%

May 25 97.5%

May 17 97.4%

Polymarket
NEU

$35,078 Vol.

May 20 97.6%

May 19 97.5%

May 25 97.5%

May 17 97.4%

Polymarket
NEU

$35,078 Vol.

On or prior to May 1

$1,224 Vol.

1%

May 2

$1,285 Vol.

1%

May 3

$1,285 Vol.

1%

May 4

$1,290 Vol.

<1%

May 5

$1,152 Vol.

1%

May 6

$1,152 Vol.

44%

May 7

$1,139 Vol.

27%

May 8

$1,152 Vol.

49%

May 9

$858 Vol.

97%

May 10

$891 Vol.

53%

May 11

$896 Vol.

10%

May 12

$859 Vol.

10%

May 13

$1,901 Vol.

17%

May 14

$1,521 Vol.

55%

May 15

$1,664 Vol.

26%

May 16

$1,138 Vol.

6%

May 17

$858 Vol.

97%

May 18

$858 Vol.

4%

May 19

$893 Vol.

98%

May 20

$853 Vol.

98%

May 21

$893 Vol.

53%

May 22

$893 Vol.

53%

May 23

$878 Vol.

97%

May 24

$866 Vol.

53%

May 25

$893 Vol.

98%

May 26

$853 Vol.

53%

May 27

$874 Vol.

53%

May 28

$893 Vol.

75%

May 29

$874 Vol.

75%

May 30

$893 Vol.

75%

May 31

$893 Vol.

75%

No visit by May 31

$2,890 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March amid the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions, anchors trader consensus, with May 14 leading at 57% implied probability and May 13 close at 53% on potential arrival timing. The tight race among top dates reflects uncertainty over the precise itinerary, as diplomatic schedules often finalize late amid bilateral negotiations on trade, technology, and regional stability. Recent precursor developments, including Republican Senator Steve Daines' delegation to Beijing and Shanghai starting May 1, signal momentum, while ongoing Iran war dynamics keep delay risks alive—"No visit by May 31" at 21%. An official detailed schedule or Hormuz resolution could widen separation.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$35,078
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March amid the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions, anchors trader consensus, with May 14 leading at 57% implied probability and May 13 close at 53% on potential arrival timing. The tight race among top dates reflects uncertainty over the precise itinerary, as diplomatic schedules often finalize late amid bilateral negotiations on trade, technology, and regional stability. Recent precursor developments, including Republican Senator Steve Daines' delegation to Beijing and Shanghai starting May 1, signal momentum, while ongoing Iran war dynamics keep delay risks alive—"No visit by May 31" at 21%. An official detailed schedule or Hormuz resolution could widen separation.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$35,078
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will Trump visit China on...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 32 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „May 14" mit 55%, gefolgt von „May 9" mit 49%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 55¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Will Trump visit China on...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $35.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Will Trump visit China on...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 32 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Will Trump visit China on...?" ist „May 14" mit 55%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „May 9" mit 49%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Will Trump visit China on...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.