Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Market icon

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

1% chance
Polymarket

$576,572 Vol.

1% chance
Polymarket

$576,572 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.”

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$576,572
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Oct 8, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.”

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$576,572
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Oct 8, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?" has generated $576.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.