Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?

Market icon

Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?

Ended: Feb 11

Ended: Feb 11

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$6,347 Vol.

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$6,347 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on February 11, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$6,347
Enddatum
Feb 11, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 9, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on February 11, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on February 11, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$6,347
Enddatum
Feb 11, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 9, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on February 11, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" is "Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Werden Trump und Netanjahu sich am Mittwoch umarmen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.