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Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?

Market icon

Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?

Gruppeneintragstitel: Kevin Warsh 100.0%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

Gruppenelementtitel: Bill Pulte <1%

Polymarket

$617,333,690 Vol.

Gruppeneintragstitel: Kevin Warsh 100.0%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

Gruppenelementtitel: Bill Pulte <1%

Polymarket

$617,333,690 Vol.

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Kevin Warsh

$59,907,151 Vol.

Ja

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Kevin Hassett

$36,122,906 Vol.

Nein

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Christopher Waller

$29,229,522 Vol.

Nein

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Gruppenelementtitel: Bill Pulte

$24,537,485 Vol.

Nein

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Judy Shelton

$127,684,065 Vol.

Nein

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David Malpass

$6,336,305 Vol.

Nein

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Howard Lutnick

$2,959,996 Vol.

Nein

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Arthur Laffer

$21,154,894 Vol.

Nein

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Larry Kudlow

$10,383,485 Vol.

Nein

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Jerome Powell

$27,875,357 Vol.

Nein

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Ron Paul

$12,652,618 Vol.

Nein

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Stephen Miran

$22,847,635 Vol.

Nein

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Scott Bessent

$38,740,980 Vol.

Nein

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James Bullard

$2,765,622 Vol.

Nein

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Marc Sumerlin

$4,328,815 Vol.

Nein

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David Zervos

$17,922,567 Vol.

Nein

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Rick Rieder

$35,603,625 Vol.

Nein

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Michelle Bowman

$26,000,157 Vol.

Nein

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Lorie K. Logan

$2,867,241 Vol.

Nein

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Philip Jefferson

$10,813,099 Vol.

Nein

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Janet Yellen

$21,325,692 Vol.

Nein

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Larry Lindsey

$6,059,959 Vol.

Nein

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Barron Trump

$20,907,361 Vol.

Nein

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Donald Trump

$23,577,646 Vol.

Nein

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Niemand vor 2027 nominiert

$24,724,503 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$617,333,690
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gruppeneintragstitel: Kevin Warsh" at 100%, followed by "Kevin Hassett" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?" has generated $617.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?" is "Gruppeneintragstitel: Kevin Warsh" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Hassett" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wen wird Trump als Fed-Vorsitzenden nominieren?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.