Denmark and Greenland officials have repeatedly affirmed that Greenland is not for sale, a position unchanged since President Trump's 2019 proposal, which prompted a diplomatic rebuff and canceled state visit. Recent trader consensus at 91% "No" reflects this entrenched sovereignty stance, reinforced by Greenland's premier Mute Egede stating in December 2024 that the territory seeks greater autonomy, not U.S. acquisition. Trump's post-election social media jest listing Greenland among "targets" drew laughs but no policy traction, with Danish Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen dismissing it outright. Absent any bilateral negotiations or shifts in Arctic geopolitics, markets price near-zero chance of purchase before 2027, aligning with historical precedents of failed territorial bids.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$30,685,153 Vol.
$30,685,153 Vol.
Ja
$30,685,153 Vol.
$30,685,153 Vol.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark and Greenland officials have repeatedly affirmed that Greenland is not for sale, a position unchanged since President Trump's 2019 proposal, which prompted a diplomatic rebuff and canceled state visit. Recent trader consensus at 91% "No" reflects this entrenched sovereignty stance, reinforced by Greenland's premier Mute Egede stating in December 2024 that the territory seeks greater autonomy, not U.S. acquisition. Trump's post-election social media jest listing Greenland among "targets" drew laughs but no policy traction, with Danish Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen dismissing it outright. Absent any bilateral negotiations or shifts in Arctic geopolitics, markets price near-zero chance of purchase before 2027, aligning with historical precedents of failed territorial bids.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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