Polymarket traders assign a modest 25% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $26 by March 31, reflecting caution amid spot prices hovering near $24.50 after a 5% monthly gain fueled by gold's rally and safe-haven flows on geopolitical tensions. Key drivers include persistent USD strength from resilient U.S. economic data curbing precious metals upside, offset by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and ETF inflows totaling $1.2B YTD. Watch the March 20 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals—dovish dot-plot revisions could spark a breakout above $25 resistance—alongside Thursday's PCE inflation print, with trader consensus eyeing sub-3% core readings to bolster bullish momentum before quarter-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$919,956 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
17%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$919,956 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
17%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a modest 25% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $26 by March 31, reflecting caution amid spot prices hovering near $24.50 after a 5% monthly gain fueled by gold's rally and safe-haven flows on geopolitical tensions. Key drivers include persistent USD strength from resilient U.S. economic data curbing precious metals upside, offset by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and ETF inflows totaling $1.2B YTD. Watch the March 20 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals—dovish dot-plot revisions could spark a breakout above $25 resistance—alongside Thursday's PCE inflation print, with trader consensus eyeing sub-3% core readings to bolster bullish momentum before quarter-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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