Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 15 announcement that President Vladimir Putin will visit China in the first half of 2026, echoed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirming active preparations, has driven trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a trip by May 31. Russian media, citing diplomatic sources, point to mid-May dates like the week of May 18 as likely, following Lavrov's recent meetings with Chinese leaders in Beijing to coordinate the summit amid deepening bilateral ties on energy supplies and strategic partnership. This aligns with earlier invitations from President Xi Jinping for multiple 2026 visits, underscoring stable diplomatic momentum, though unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or global tensions could still disrupt scheduling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Putin China bis zum 31. Mai besuchen?
Wird Putin China bis zum 31. Mai besuchen?
Ja
$56,474 Vol.
$56,474 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Ja
$56,474 Vol.
$56,474 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 15 announcement that President Vladimir Putin will visit China in the first half of 2026, echoed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirming active preparations, has driven trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a trip by May 31. Russian media, citing diplomatic sources, point to mid-May dates like the week of May 18 as likely, following Lavrov's recent meetings with Chinese leaders in Beijing to coordinate the summit amid deepening bilateral ties on energy supplies and strategic partnership. This aligns with earlier invitations from President Xi Jinping for multiple 2026 visits, underscoring stable diplomatic momentum, though unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or global tensions could still disrupt scheduling.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$56,474Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 15 announcement that President Vladimir Putin will visit China in the first half of 2026, echoed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirming active preparations, has driven trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a trip by May 31. Russian media, citing diplomatic sources, point to mid-May dates like the week of May 18 as likely, following Lavrov's recent meetings with Chinese leaders in Beijing to coordinate the summit amid deepening bilateral ties on energy supplies and strategic partnership. This aligns with earlier invitations from President Xi Jinping for multiple 2026 visits, underscoring stable diplomatic momentum, though unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or global tensions could still disrupt scheduling.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$56,474Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 15 announcement that President Vladimir Putin will visit China in the first half of 2026, echoed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirming active preparations, has driven trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a trip by May 31. Russian media, citing diplomatic sources, point to mid-May dates like the week of May 18 as likely, following Lavrov's recent meetings with Chinese leaders in Beijing to coordinate the summit amid deepening bilateral ties on energy supplies and strategic partnership. This aligns with earlier invitations from President Xi Jinping for multiple 2026 visits, underscoring stable diplomatic momentum, though unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or global tensions could still disrupt scheduling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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