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icon for How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)
Geopolitik·Belohnungen 200, 4,5, 20

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

icon for How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)
Geopolitik·Belohnungen 200, 4,5, 20

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

Ended: Apr. 26

Mai 17

Ended: Apr. 26

Mai 17

25-49 100.0%

<25 <1%

50-74 <1%

75-99 <1%

Polymarket

$239,031 Vol.

25-49 100.0%

<25 <1%

50-74 <1%

75-99 <1%

Polymarket

$239,031 Vol.

<25

$62,722 Vol.

No

25-49

$40,738 Vol.

Yes

50-74

$39,292 Vol.

No

75-99

$34,876 Vol.

No

100-124

$13,230 Vol.

Nein

125-149

$15,343 Vol.

Nein

150+

$32,829 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability for 25-49 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 20-26, driven by verified maritime tracking data from Windward and Kpler confirming a weekly total of 35 vessels—down sharply from 78 the prior week and pre-conflict daily norms exceeding 120. Persistent US-Iran naval standoffs, including mutual blockades, IRGC vessel seizures on April 22, and US interceptions, have enforced minimal commercial flows amid soaring war risk insurance premiums and AIS spoofing by shadow fleets. Daily counts hovered at 2-8 ships, solidifying the low-volume positioning. Realistic challenges would require upward revisions from undetected dark transits, though official tallies now anchor the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volumen
$239,031
Enddatum
26. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability for 25-49 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 20-26, driven by verified maritime tracking data from Windward and Kpler confirming a weekly total of 35 vessels—down sharply from 78 the prior week and pre-conflict daily norms exceeding 120. Persistent US-Iran naval standoffs, including mutual blockades, IRGC vessel seizures on April 22, and US interceptions, have enforced minimal commercial flows amid soaring war risk insurance premiums and AIS spoofing by shadow fleets. Daily counts hovered at 2-8 ships, solidifying the low-volume positioning. Realistic challenges would require upward revisions from undetected dark transits, though official tallies now anchor the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volumen
$239,031
Enddatum
26. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „25-49" mit 100%, gefolgt von „<25" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $239K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)" ist „25-49" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<25" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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