Market icon

Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?

Market icon

Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?

$1,110,444 Vol.

Oct 1, 2025
Polymarket

$1,110,444 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$22,387 Vol.

No

October 1

$22,491 Vol.

No

October 2

$35,192 Vol.

No

October 5

$52,693 Vol.

No

October 15

$279,772 Vol.

No

October 31

$412,741 Vol.

No

November 30

$285,169 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the US House and Senate pass the same government funding bill by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,110,444
Enddatum
Nov 30, 2025
Erstellt am
Sep 29, 2025, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the US House and Senate pass the same government funding bill by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 30" at 100%, followed by "September 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?" is "November 30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.