Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

Market icon

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

$151,502 Vol.

Sep 10, 2025
Polymarket

$151,502 Vol.

Polymarket

September 10

$38,325 Vol.

No

September 15

$51,812 Vol.

No

December 31

$61,365 Vol.

No

If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between August 31, and September 10, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$151,502
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Erstellt am
Aug 31, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between August 31, and September 10, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 10" at 0%, followed by "September 15" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?" has generated $151.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?" is "September 10" at just 0%, with "September 15" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.