Market icon

Wer wird als erster das Trump-Kabinett verlassen?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Stephen Miran 100.0%

Gruppenelementtitel: J.D. Vance <1%

Scott Bessent <1%

Pam Bondi <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Vol.

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$3,208,268
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Dec 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Market icon

Wer wird als erster das Trump-Kabinett verlassen?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Stephen Miran 100.0%

Gruppenelementtitel: J.D. Vance <1%

Scott Bessent <1%

Pam Bondi <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Vol.

Gruppenelementtitel: J.D. Vance

$110,819 Vol.

Nein

Scott Bessent

$61,829 Vol.

Nein

Pam Bondi

$450,324 Vol.

Nein

Brooke Rollins

$45,287 Vol.

Nein

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$131,650 Vol.

Nein

Gruppenelement-Titel: Scott Turner

$137,970 Vol.

Nein

Chris Wright

$49,351 Vol.

Nein

Doug Collins

$134,704 Vol.

Nein

Lee Zeldin

$85,056 Vol.

Nein

Tulsi Gabbard

$82,861 Vol.

Nein

Gruppeneintragstitel: John Ratcliffe

$144,150 Vol.

Nein

Mike Waltz

$67,347 Vol.

Nein

Kelly Loeffler

$77,870 Vol.

Nein

Keiner vor dem Jahr 2027

$209,248 Vol.

Nein

Marco Rubio

$114,485 Vol.

Nein

Pete Hegseth

$156,483 Vol.

Nein

Gruppeneintragstitel: Doug Burgum

$145,164 Vol.

Nein

Howard Lutnick

$142,348 Vol.

Nein

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$55,069 Vol.

Nein

Sean Duffy

$101,115 Vol.

Nein

Linda McMahon

$52,725 Vol.

Nein

Kristi Noem

$299,942 Vol.

Nein

Gruppenelement-Titel: Susie Wiles

$66,208 Vol.

Nein

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Russell T. Vought

$81,913 Vol.

Nein

Jamieson Greer

$96,863 Vol.

Nein

Stephen Miran

$107,487 Vol.

Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.