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Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Alaska Governor Primary aufsteigen?

Market icon
Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Alaska Governor Primary aufsteigen?

$110,140 Vol.

18. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$110,140 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$6,996 Vol.

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,907 Vol.

66%

Dave Bronson

$1,544 Vol.

50%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$1,063 Vol.

48%

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

41%

Treg Taylor

$54,652 Vol.

30%

Bruce Walden

$1,197 Vol.

26%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$11,282 Vol.

22%

Hank Kroll

$0 Vol.

14%

Matt Claman

$0 Vol.

11%

Matt Heilala

$2,682 Vol.

10%

Adam Crum

$4,014 Vol.

9%

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

9%

Edna DeVries

$11,351 Vol.

6%

James Parkin

$1,452 Vol.

5%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, where the top four advance to the ranked-choice general election, fragmenting the Republican field among over a dozen candidates including ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor, and businesswoman Bernadette Wilson. Democrat Tom Begich leads the latest Lake Research Partners primary poll (April 4, 2026) at 38%, building on his February showing of 22% amid strong early fundraising across top contenders reported February 18. Traders weigh GOP vote-splitting risks against Begich's polling edge, with June 1 filing deadline and candidate forums as key near-term catalysts.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volumen
$110,140
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, where the top four advance to the ranked-choice general election, fragmenting the Republican field among over a dozen candidates including ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor, and businesswoman Bernadette Wilson. Democrat Tom Begich leads the latest Lake Research Partners primary poll (April 4, 2026) at 38%, building on his February showing of 22% amid strong early fundraising across top contenders reported February 18. Traders weigh GOP vote-splitting risks against Begich's polling edge, with June 1 filing deadline and candidate forums as key near-term catalysts.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volumen
$110,140
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird von der Alaska Governor Primary aufsteigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Tom Begich" mit 80%, gefolgt von „Bernadette Wilson" mit 66%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird von der Alaska Governor Primary aufsteigen?" ist „Tom Begich" mit 80%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Bernadette Wilson" mit 66%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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