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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?

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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?

$877,362 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$877,362 Vol.

Polymarket

Australien

$17,470 Vol.

Nein

Israel

$18,190 Vol.

Nein

European Union

$54,815 Vol.

No

Indien

$100,290 Vol.

Nein

Kanada

$70,639 Vol.

Nein

Brasilien

$139,482 Vol.

Nein

Gruppenelement-Titel: Japan

$66,397 Vol.

Nein

Argentina

$130,016 Vol.

No

Pakistan

$7,006 Vol.

Nein

Indonesia

$16,273 Vol.

No

Vietnam

$21,348 Vol.

No

Mexiko

$22,072 Vol.

Nein

South Korea

$173,470 Vol.

No

United Kingdom

$13,041 Vol.

No

Russia

$17,385 Vol.

No

South Africa

$9,467 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States between July 25, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Th Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$877,362
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States between July 25, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Th Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australien" at 0%, followed by "Israel" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?" has generated $877.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?" is "Australien" at just 0%, with "Israel" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.