Trump's prolific Truth Social posting, averaging dozens daily on legal defenses and political opponents, anchors trader consensus for content during March 23-29, with implied probabilities favoring attacks on Biden-Harris, election integrity claims, or judicial "witch hunts" based on historical patterns. Recent catalysts include the March 25 New York appeals court ruling slashing his civil fraud bond from $464 million to $175 million, prompting triumphant posts declaring victory over "crooked" judges, alongside ongoing hush money case developments ahead of April trial. No major scheduled events loom this week, but daily news cycles on immigration or economy could shift focus, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing Trump's unpredictable yet thematic rhetoric.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNATO
72%
Nasty
36%
Boeing
26%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
52%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
28%
FBI
57%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
48%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
$138 Vol.
NATO
72%
Nasty
36%
Boeing
26%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
52%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
28%
FBI
57%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
48%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social posting, averaging dozens daily on legal defenses and political opponents, anchors trader consensus for content during March 23-29, with implied probabilities favoring attacks on Biden-Harris, election integrity claims, or judicial "witch hunts" based on historical patterns. Recent catalysts include the March 25 New York appeals court ruling slashing his civil fraud bond from $464 million to $175 million, prompting triumphant posts declaring victory over "crooked" judges, alongside ongoing hush money case developments ahead of April trial. No major scheduled events loom this week, but daily news cycles on immigration or economy could shift focus, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing Trump's unpredictable yet thematic rhetoric.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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