Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Miami median home value near $1.21 million as of late March 2026, with implied probabilities tightly split at 41.3% for $1.22–1.24 million and 40.0% for $1.20–1.22 million, reflecting uncertainty over final March Parcl index adjustments ahead of April 1 resolution. Recent February data shows mixed signals: Zillow's Home Value Index at $573,963 (down 2.3% year-over-year) amid rising inventory, contrasted by Redfin's median sale price of $725,000 (up 11.5% year-over-year) and resilient sales volume. Key swing factors include late-March list price softening (down 3.1% year-over-year per Realtor.com) versus potential spring demand rebound, with mortgage rates hovering near 6% curbing buyer activity. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, leaving pricing in delicate balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in Miami am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in Miami am 1. April sein?
1,2 - 1,22 Mio. 40.3%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio. 38.7%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio. 19%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio. 14%
<1,1 Mio.
2%
1,1 - 1,12 Mio.
2%
1,12 - 1,14 Mio.
17%
1,14 - 1,16 Mio.
6%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio.
10%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio.
19%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio.
43%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio.
39%
>1,24 Mio.
8%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio. 40.3%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio. 38.7%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio. 19%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio. 14%
<1,1 Mio.
2%
1,1 - 1,12 Mio.
2%
1,12 - 1,14 Mio.
17%
1,14 - 1,16 Mio.
6%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio.
10%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio.
19%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio.
43%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio.
39%
>1,24 Mio.
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Miami median home value near $1.21 million as of late March 2026, with implied probabilities tightly split at 41.3% for $1.22–1.24 million and 40.0% for $1.20–1.22 million, reflecting uncertainty over final March Parcl index adjustments ahead of April 1 resolution. Recent February data shows mixed signals: Zillow's Home Value Index at $573,963 (down 2.3% year-over-year) amid rising inventory, contrasted by Redfin's median sale price of $725,000 (up 11.5% year-over-year) and resilient sales volume. Key swing factors include late-March list price softening (down 3.1% year-over-year per Realtor.com) versus potential spring demand rebound, with mortgage rates hovering near 6% curbing buyer activity. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, leaving pricing in delicate balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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