Polymarket traders price a median Miami home value of roughly $1.23 million on April 1, with 53.8% implied probability on the $1.22–1.24 million bin, reflecting resilient year-over-year sale price gains amid mixed signals. February 2026 data shows Redfin median sale prices up 11.5% to $725,000 and Miami-Dade single-family medians up 5% to $685,000, buoyed by falling mortgage rates near 6.1% and ongoing wealth migration, though Zillow's ZHVI dipped 2.3% to $574,000 and inventory rose 5–9% year-over-year to 6.4 months' supply for single-family homes. Lower bins like $1.20–1.22 million (28.7%) capture softening list prices down 3.1% to $630,000, with resolution imminent hinging on final March sales momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in Miami am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in Miami am 1. April sein?
1,22 - 1,24 Mio. 54.1%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio. 40.3%
>1,24 Mio. 26.0%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio. 17%
<1,1 Mio.
2%
1,1 - 1,12 Mio.
2%
1,12 - 1,14 Mio.
15%
1,14 - 1,16 Mio.
6%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio.
10%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio.
17%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio.
29%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio.
54%
>1,24 Mio.
16%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio. 54.1%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio. 40.3%
>1,24 Mio. 26.0%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio. 17%
<1,1 Mio.
2%
1,1 - 1,12 Mio.
2%
1,12 - 1,14 Mio.
15%
1,14 - 1,16 Mio.
6%
1,16 - 1,18 Mio.
10%
1,18 - 1,2 Mio.
17%
1,2 - 1,22 Mio.
29%
1,22 - 1,24 Mio.
54%
>1,24 Mio.
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a median Miami home value of roughly $1.23 million on April 1, with 53.8% implied probability on the $1.22–1.24 million bin, reflecting resilient year-over-year sale price gains amid mixed signals. February 2026 data shows Redfin median sale prices up 11.5% to $725,000 and Miami-Dade single-family medians up 5% to $685,000, buoyed by falling mortgage rates near 6.1% and ongoing wealth migration, though Zillow's ZHVI dipped 2.3% to $574,000 and inventory rose 5–9% year-over-year to 6.4 months' supply for single-family homes. Lower bins like $1.20–1.22 million (28.7%) capture softening list prices down 3.1% to $630,000, with resolution imminent hinging on final March sales momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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