Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about SpaceX completing an initial public offering by the December 31, 2027, resolution deadline, positioning "Other" at 58.1% implied probability amid Elon Musk's history of postponing listings to prioritize Starship development and Starlink expansion. The 35% odds on $X stem from Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X Corp and xAI—now viable after U.S. Steel's delisting freed the single-letter ticker. Recent catalysts include March 25 reports of an imminent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and mid-June debut, sparking space stock rallies in ASTS and RKLB, alongside social media frenzy and $3.7 million in market volume; however, no official confirmation has materialized, sustaining doubt on timelines while minor plays like $SEX and $SX linger as humorous or thematic longshots. Watch for SEC filings or Musk statements as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSonstiges 58.1%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.3%
$SX 1.4%
$3,774,347 Vol.
$3,774,347 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Sonstiges
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Sonstiges 58.1%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.3%
$SX 1.4%
$3,774,347 Vol.
$3,774,347 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Sonstiges
$57,936 Vol.
58%
$X
$383,352 Vol.
35%
$SEX
$1,213,417 Vol.
2%
$SX
$230,463 Vol.
1%
$SPAX
$246,000 Vol.
1%
$SPACE
$402,376 Vol.
1%
$STAR
$710,716 Vol.
1%
$MARS
$147,883 Vol.
<1%
$SPC
$382,203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about SpaceX completing an initial public offering by the December 31, 2027, resolution deadline, positioning "Other" at 58.1% implied probability amid Elon Musk's history of postponing listings to prioritize Starship development and Starlink expansion. The 35% odds on $X stem from Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X Corp and xAI—now viable after U.S. Steel's delisting freed the single-letter ticker. Recent catalysts include March 25 reports of an imminent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and mid-June debut, sparking space stock rallies in ASTS and RKLB, alongside social media frenzy and $3.7 million in market volume; however, no official confirmation has materialized, sustaining doubt on timelines while minor plays like $SEX and $SX linger as humorous or thematic longshots. Watch for SEC filings or Musk statements as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volumen
$3,774,347Enddatum
Dec 31, 2027Markt eröffnet
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about SpaceX completing an initial public offering by the December 31, 2027, resolution deadline, positioning "Other" at 58.1% implied probability amid Elon Musk's history of postponing listings to prioritize Starship development and Starlink expansion. The 35% odds on $X stem from Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X Corp and xAI—now viable after U.S. Steel's delisting freed the single-letter ticker. Recent catalysts include March 25 reports of an imminent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and mid-June debut, sparking space stock rallies in ASTS and RKLB, alongside social media frenzy and $3.7 million in market volume; however, no official confirmation has materialized, sustaining doubt on timelines while minor plays like $SEX and $SX linger as humorous or thematic longshots. Watch for SEC filings or Musk statements as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$3,774,347Enddatum
Dec 31, 2027Markt eröffnet
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about SpaceX completing an initial public offering by the December 31, 2027, resolution deadline, positioning "Other" at 58.1% implied probability amid Elon Musk's history of postponing listings to prioritize Starship development and Starlink expansion. The 35% odds on $X stem from Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X Corp and xAI—now viable after U.S. Steel's delisting freed the single-letter ticker. Recent catalysts include March 25 reports of an imminent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and mid-June debut, sparking space stock rallies in ASTS and RKLB, alongside social media frenzy and $3.7 million in market volume; however, no official confirmation has materialized, sustaining doubt on timelines while minor plays like $SEX and $SX linger as humorous or thematic longshots. Watch for SEC filings or Musk statements as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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