In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war ignited by February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and missile facilities, a fragile lull in direct fire has prevailed since early April following a US ceasefire proposal and Israel-Hezbollah truce, yet Iranian Revolutionary Guard commanders warned on April 18 of unleashing newly produced missiles and drones against US forces, Israel, or Gulf oil infrastructure if escalation resumes. US officials countered with threats of renewed airstrikes amid the partial Strait of Hormuz blockade, where Iran has vowed retaliation against shipping. Proxy barrages via Houthis and Hezbollah persist, with diplomatic deadlines and potential tanker attacks by April 30 poised to drive outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGegen was wird der Iran bis zum 30. April militärisch vorgehen?
Gegen was wird der Iran bis zum 30. April militärisch vorgehen?
$483,182 Vol.
Ruwais Raffinerie
16%
Ras Tanura
19%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
12%
Habshan-Feld/Verarbeitungskomplex
9%
Ghawar-Feld
8%
Khurais-Feld
8%
Safaniya-Feld
7%
Ölverarbeitungsanlage Abqaiq
7%
Leviathan-Feld
7%
Burj Khalifa
5%
Al Zour Raffinerie
4%
Dimona (Shimon-Peres-Negev-Kernforschungszentrum)
1%
$483,182 Vol.
Ruwais Raffinerie
16%
Ras Tanura
19%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
12%
Habshan-Feld/Verarbeitungskomplex
9%
Ghawar-Feld
8%
Khurais-Feld
8%
Safaniya-Feld
7%
Ölverarbeitungsanlage Abqaiq
7%
Leviathan-Feld
7%
Burj Khalifa
5%
Al Zour Raffinerie
4%
Dimona (Shimon-Peres-Negev-Kernforschungszentrum)
1%
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war ignited by February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and missile facilities, a fragile lull in direct fire has prevailed since early April following a US ceasefire proposal and Israel-Hezbollah truce, yet Iranian Revolutionary Guard commanders warned on April 18 of unleashing newly produced missiles and drones against US forces, Israel, or Gulf oil infrastructure if escalation resumes. US officials countered with threats of renewed airstrikes amid the partial Strait of Hormuz blockade, where Iran has vowed retaliation against shipping. Proxy barrages via Houthis and Hezbollah persist, with diplomatic deadlines and potential tanker attacks by April 30 poised to drive outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen