Trader consensus prices the Republican nominee at 82% implied probability to win Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial election, anchored by incumbent Phil Scott's sustained national-leading approval ratings—reaffirmed in a February Morning Consult poll as America's most popular governor for 14 straight quarters—despite his lack of announcement on seeking a sixth term. This reflects Vermont's historical pattern of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship amid Democratic legislative supermajorities, bolstered by Scott's landslide 2024 victory flipping key offices. Democrats' field opened March 10 with economist Amanda Janoo as the sole announced primary contender ahead of August 11 primaries, while a 14-year-old secured general ballot access under a new party, unlikely to sway dynamics. Upcoming filing deadline May 28 could clarify fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
81%
Demokrat
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
$2,370 Vol.
81%
Demokrat
$5,189 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices the Republican nominee at 82% implied probability to win Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial election, anchored by incumbent Phil Scott's sustained national-leading approval ratings—reaffirmed in a February Morning Consult poll as America's most popular governor for 14 straight quarters—despite his lack of announcement on seeking a sixth term. This reflects Vermont's historical pattern of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship amid Democratic legislative supermajorities, bolstered by Scott's landslide 2024 victory flipping key offices. Democrats' field opened March 10 with economist Amanda Janoo as the sole announced primary contender ahead of August 11 primaries, while a 14-year-old secured general ballot access under a new party, unlikely to sway dynamics. Upcoming filing deadline May 28 could clarify fields.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$7,459Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices the Republican nominee at 82% implied probability to win Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial election, anchored by incumbent Phil Scott's sustained national-leading approval ratings—reaffirmed in a February Morning Consult poll as America's most popular governor for 14 straight quarters—despite his lack of announcement on seeking a sixth term. This reflects Vermont's historical pattern of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship amid Democratic legislative supermajorities, bolstered by Scott's landslide 2024 victory flipping key offices. Democrats' field opened March 10 with economist Amanda Janoo as the sole announced primary contender ahead of August 11 primaries, while a 14-year-old secured general ballot access under a new party, unlikely to sway dynamics. Upcoming filing deadline May 28 could clarify fields.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$7,459Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Republican nominee at 82% implied probability to win Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial election, anchored by incumbent Phil Scott's sustained national-leading approval ratings—reaffirmed in a February Morning Consult poll as America's most popular governor for 14 straight quarters—despite his lack of announcement on seeking a sixth term. This reflects Vermont's historical pattern of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship amid Democratic legislative supermajorities, bolstered by Scott's landslide 2024 victory flipping key offices. Democrats' field opened March 10 with economist Amanda Janoo as the sole announced primary contender ahead of August 11 primaries, while a 14-year-old secured general ballot access under a new party, unlikely to sway dynamics. Upcoming filing deadline May 28 could clarify fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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